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Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 15, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
STADE DE SUISSE Wankdorf Bern
SL

Young Boys
1 - 3
Sporting Lisbon

Ugrinic (42')
Camara (22'), Colley (40'), Lakomy (54'), Elia (89')
Camara (88')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Amenda (31' og.), Gyokeres (41' pen.), Inacio (48')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lugano 3-3 Young Boys
Saturday, February 10 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

We said: Young Boys 1-2 Sporting Lisbon

Sporting Lisbon boast more quality than their hosts, and while they are unlikely to go all out for a big victory with a home leg looming, we still fancy Amorim's men to come out on top on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.87%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Young Boys had a probability of 18.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.94%) and 1-3 (7.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Young Boys win it was 2-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Young BoysDrawSporting Lisbon
18.26% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 18.87% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 62.87% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 63.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.75% (0.021000000000001 0.02)31.25% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.31% (0.024999999999999 0.02)52.69% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Young Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.89% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)30.11% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.75% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)66.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.41% (0.013000000000005 0.01)9.58% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.94% (0.028999999999996 0.03)32.06% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Young Boys 18.26%
    Sporting Lisbon 62.87%
    Draw 18.87%
Young BoysDrawSporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 4.88% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 3.46% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 2.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 1.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 18.26%
1-1 @ 8.12% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 2.89% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-3 @ 1.79% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 18.87%
1-2 @ 9.52% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 7.94%
1-3 @ 7.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 6.77% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 6.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 4.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 4.37% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-4 @ 3.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 2.62% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-5 @ 2.05% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-5 @ 1.71% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-5 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
3-4 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 62.87%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lugano 3-3 Young Boys
Saturday, February 10 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lausanne 0-1 Young Boys
Saturday, February 3 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Young Boys 5-1 Yverdon Sport
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Basel 1-0 Young Boys
Saturday, January 27 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Young Boys 1-0 Grasshopper
Saturday, January 20 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: SLO 1-3 Young Boys
Saturday, December 16 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 5-0 Braga
Sunday, February 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Uniao de Leiria 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Wednesday, February 7 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 8-0 Casa Pia
Monday, January 29 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 1-0 Sporting Lisbon
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Vizela 2-5 Sporting Lisbon
Thursday, January 18 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Chaves 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, January 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga


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