SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 55.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 22.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Lokomotiv Moscow win it was 1-2 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
55.29% ( 0) | 22.54% ( -0.03) | 22.16% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 56.44% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.99% ( 0.19) | 43% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.59% ( 0.18) | 65.4% ( -0.19) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.56% ( 0.07) | 15.44% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.71% ( 0.13) | 44.28% ( -0.13) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.75% ( 0.13) | 33.25% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.14% ( 0.14) | 69.86% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% 1-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 55.29% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.54% | 1-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.11% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 22.16% |
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