SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 57.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 20.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Lokomotiv Moscow win it was 1-0 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
20.08% ( 0.06) | 22.68% ( 0.02) | 57.24% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 52.86% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.72% ( 0.01) | 46.27% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.43% ( 0.01) | 68.56% ( -0.02) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.86% ( 0.08) | 37.13% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.08% ( 0.08) | 73.92% ( -0.08) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.08% ( -0.02) | 15.92% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.83% ( -0.04) | 45.17% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 1-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.66% Total : 20.08% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.68% | 0-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.98% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.11% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 6.06% ( -0)2-3 @ 3% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.78% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.38% 0-5 @ 1.03% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 57.23% |
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