SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Zenit St Petersburg had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Zenit St Petersburg win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
45.36% ( -0.01) | 23.9% ( 0) | 30.73% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 59.86% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.84% ( -0.02) | 42.15% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.44% ( -0.02) | 64.55% ( 0.02) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.19% ( -0.01) | 18.8% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.76% ( -0.02) | 50.23% ( 0.02) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.72% ( -0.01) | 26.27% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.6% ( -0.01) | 61.39% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.9% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.84% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 3.39% Total : 45.36% | 1-1 @ 11.03% 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.94% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.9% | 1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.6% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.41% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 1.1% 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 30.73% |
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