SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 56.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 20.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 1-0 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
20.86% ( -0.3) | 22.78% ( -0.05) | 56.36% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 53.75% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.32% ( -0.17) | 45.68% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32% ( -0.16) | 68% ( 0.16) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64% ( -0.39) | 36% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.22% ( -0.41) | 72.78% ( 0.41) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.99% ( 0.06) | 16.01% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.66% ( 0.11) | 45.34% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 1-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.83% Total : 20.86% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.77% | 0-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 6.03% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.91% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.71% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.34% Total : 56.35% |
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