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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | Atlanta United |
39.18% ( -0.09) | 23.87% ( 0.01) | 36.95% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 61.95% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.76% ( -0.05) | 40.23% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.39% ( -0.05) | 62.6% ( 0.05) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.26% ( -0.06) | 20.74% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.63% ( -0.1) | 53.37% ( 0.1) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.16% ( 0.01) | 21.84% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.93% ( 0.02) | 55.06% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.13% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 39.18% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.87% | 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.59% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 36.95% |
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