SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for New England Revolution in this match.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | Atlanta United |
39.07% ( 0.49) | 24.44% ( 0.36) | 36.48% ( -0.85) |
| Both teams to score 59.76% ( -1.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.94% ( -1.81) | 43.06% ( 1.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.54% ( -1.81) | 65.46% ( 1.82) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.97% ( -0.55) | 22.03% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.64% ( -0.84) | 55.36% ( 0.85) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.64% ( -1.26) | 23.36% ( 1.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.67% ( -1.87) | 57.33% ( 1.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.48)2-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.47% Total : 39.08% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.17)0-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.4)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.44% | 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.32)0-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.2)0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.13)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.18% Total : 36.48% |
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