SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dallas | Draw | Portland Timbers |
46.11% ( -0.59) | 23.8% ( 0.24) | 30.09% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 59.84% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.98% ( -0.92) | 42.01% ( 0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.58% ( -0.93) | 64.42% ( 0.93) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.55% ( -0.6) | 18.45% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.37% ( -1.02) | 49.63% ( 1.02) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.37% ( -0.23) | 26.62% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.14% ( -0.31) | 61.86% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dallas | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.52% Total : 46.11% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.79% | 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 3.14% Total : 30.09% |
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