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Major League Soccer
Aug 21, 2022 at 1am UK
New Fort Lauderdale Stadium
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Inter Miami
2 - 1
Toronto

Mota (24'), Lassiter (44')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Insigne (28')
Bernardeschi (56')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 3-2 NY City
Sunday, August 14 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-2 New England
Thursday, August 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 1-2 Toronto

The significant big game experience of Insigne, Bernardeschi and Criscito has been invaluable to this Toronto team, and we expect the Reds to play with a greater sense of urgency in this one, knowing that they have virtually no room for error at this stage of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Inter Miami in this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawToronto
43.15% (-0.127 -0.13) 24.78% (-0.044 -0.04) 32.07% (0.166 0.17)
Both teams to score 57.44% (0.221 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.4% (0.25700000000001 0.26)45.6% (-0.263 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.07% (0.245 0.25)67.92% (-0.252 -0.25)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.82% (0.048000000000002 0.05)21.18% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.94% (0.079999999999998 0.08)54.06% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.88% (0.23100000000001 0.23)27.12% (-0.236 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.49% (0.303 0.3)62.5% (-0.309 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 43.15%
    Toronto 32.07%
    Draw 24.77%
Inter MiamiDrawToronto
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.92% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-0 @ 6.92% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 43.15%
1-1 @ 11.63% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.032 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.74% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.77%
1-2 @ 7.59% (0.028 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.5% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.3% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.13% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 32.07%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Inter Miami 3-2 NY City
Sunday, August 14 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, August 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 0-1 Inter Miami
Thursday, August 4 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 4-4 Cincinnati
Sunday, July 31 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 2-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, July 24 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 0-6 Barcelona
Wednesday, July 20 at 1am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Toronto 2-2 New England
Thursday, August 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 3-1 Portland
Sunday, August 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 3-4 Toronto
Sunday, August 7 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 0-0 Toronto
Sunday, July 31 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 4-0 Charlotte FC
Sunday, July 24 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 1-0 Toronto
Sunday, July 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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