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Major League Soccer
Oct 1, 2022 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
IM

Toronto
0 - 1
Inter Miami


Insigne (45+3'), Bradley (49'), Laryea (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Higuain (86')
Campana (32'), Gregore (40')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 4-0 Toronto
Sunday, September 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 2-3 Inter Miami
Sunday, September 18 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 1-2 Inter Miami

We expect Toronto to put up a fight, as their dangerous attacking tandem should be able to create their share of opportunities, but Higuain has found another gear and seems to be in the zone right now, so look for him to step it up and propel his side to another three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 54.97%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 22.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawInter Miami
54.97% (-0.195 -0.2) 22.98% (0.052000000000003 0.05) 22.05% (0.145 0.15)
Both teams to score 54.81% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.9% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)45.1% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.56% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)67.44% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.72% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)16.28% (0.09 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.16% (-0.161 -0.16)45.84% (0.164 0.16)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.47% (0.104 0.1)34.53% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.75% (0.11 0.11)71.25% (-0.10799999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 54.97%
    Inter Miami 22.05%
    Draw 22.98%
TorontoDrawInter Miami
1-0 @ 10.2%
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.26% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.96% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.6% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 2.7% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.54% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.98% (-0.009 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 54.97%
1-1 @ 10.85% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.62% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.98%
0-1 @ 5.98% (0.032 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.77% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.18% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.05% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 22.05%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Orlando City 4-0 Toronto
Sunday, September 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 4-2 Toronto
Sunday, September 11 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 3-4 Montreal
Monday, September 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-2 LA Galaxy
Thursday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-2 Toronto
Sunday, August 28 at 1.10am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Toronto
Sunday, August 21 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 2-3 Inter Miami
Sunday, September 18 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Columbus Crew
Wednesday, September 14 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 3-1 Inter Miami
Sunday, September 11 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-0 Inter Miami
Thursday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 3-1 Inter Miami
Sunday, August 28 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Toronto
Sunday, August 21 at 1am in Major League Soccer


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