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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 59.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 18.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | Toronto |
59.44% ( 0.07) | 21.57% ( 0) | 18.99% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.69% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.06% ( -0.12) | 42.94% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.66% ( -0.12) | 65.34% ( 0.12) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.92% ( -0.02) | 14.08% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.32% ( -0.04) | 41.68% ( 0.04) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.65% ( -0.15) | 36.35% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.87% ( -0.15) | 73.13% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | Toronto |
| 1-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.51% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.19% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.25% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 2.96% Total : 59.44% | 1-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.56% | 0-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 18.99% |
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