SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 53.98%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 24.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | New England Revolution |
53.98% ( 0.8) | 21.89% ( -0.13) | 24.13% ( -0.67) |
| Both teams to score 61.29% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.24% ( -0.08) | 37.76% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.99% ( -0.09) | 60.01% ( 0.08) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.94% ( 0.23) | 14.06% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.36% ( 0.45) | 41.64% ( -0.45) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.32% ( -0.57) | 28.68% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.5% ( -0.72) | 64.5% ( 0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.51% Total : 53.98% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.89% | 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.38% Total : 24.13% |
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