Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
