Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
