Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 56.54%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 21.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 1-2 (5.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.
Result | ||
Club America | Draw | Club Leon |
56.54% ( 1.44) | 21.69% ( -0.25) | 21.77% ( -1.19) |
Both teams to score 58.81% ( -0.79) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.39% ( -0.28) | 39.61% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.04% ( -0.3) | 61.96% ( 0.3) |
Club America Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.12% ( 0.36) | 13.88% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.71% ( 0.7) | 41.28% ( -0.7) |
Club Leon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.29% ( -1.2) | 31.7% ( 1.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.87% ( -1.4) | 68.12% ( 1.4) |
Score Analysis |
Club America | Draw | Club Leon |
2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.29) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.35% Total : 56.54% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.69% | 1-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.6% Total : 21.77% |
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