Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.

Result
Pumas	Draw	Pachuca
37.4%	27.19%	35.41%

Both teams to score 50.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.85%

55.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.61%

76.39%

Pumas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.52%

28.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.75%

64.25%

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.31%

29.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.25%

65.74%

Score Analysis

Pumas 37.4%

Pachuca 35.4%

Draw 27.18%

Pumas	Draw	Pachuca
1-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 8.1% 2-0 @ 6.67% 3-1 @ 3.39% 3-0 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.71% Total : 37.4%	1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.46% 2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.18%	0-1 @ 10.26% 1-2 @ 7.83% 0-2 @ 6.24% 1-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.43% Total : 35.4%