Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 54.06%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 23.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Tigres	Draw	Toluca
54.06% ( -0.36)	22.56% ( 0.19)	23.38% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 57.99% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.3% (

-0.66)

41.71% (

0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.89% (

-0.67)

64.11% (

0.68)

Tigres Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.6% (

-0.35)

15.4% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.79% (

-0.66)

44.21% (

0.67)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.54% (

-0.21)

31.46% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.16% (

-0.24)

67.84% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Tigres 54.06%

Toluca 23.38%

Draw 22.56%

Tigres	Draw	Toluca
2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.8% Total : 54.06%	1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.56%	1-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.71% Total : 23.38%