SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 54.06%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 23.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tigres | Draw | Toluca |
54.06% ( -0.36) | 22.56% ( 0.19) | 23.38% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 57.99% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.3% ( -0.66) | 41.71% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.89% ( -0.67) | 64.11% ( 0.68) |
| Tigres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.6% ( -0.35) | 15.4% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.79% ( -0.66) | 44.21% ( 0.67) |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.54% ( -0.21) | 31.46% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.16% ( -0.24) | 67.84% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigres | Draw | Toluca |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.8% Total : 54.06% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.56% | 1-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.71% Total : 23.38% |
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