Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico San Luis win with a probability of 51.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 22.66%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico San Luis win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico San Luis in this match.