Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Mar 12, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Díez
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Mazatlan.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 64.62%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 15.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
| Result |
| Toluca | Draw | Mazatlan |
64.62% ( -0.15) | 19.93% ( 0.06) | 15.45% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 52.81% ( 0.03) |
| 58.22% ( -0.07) | 41.78% ( 0.07) |
| 35.82% ( -0.07) | 64.18% ( 0.07) |
| 87.8% ( -0.06) | 12.19% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.14% ( -0.14) | 37.85% ( 0.14) |
| 60.14% ( 0.08) | 39.85% ( -0.08) |
