Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queretaro win with a probability of 42.57%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 28.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queretaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 2-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
