Liga MX | Gameweek 12
Apr 3, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Puebla.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result |
| Toluca | Draw | Puebla |
| 32.94% | 26.4% | 40.66% |
| Both teams to score 52.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
Toluca 32.94%
Puebla 40.65%
Draw 26.39%
| Toluca | Draw | Puebla |
1-0 @ 9.15%
2-1 @ 7.59%
2-0 @ 5.53%
3-1 @ 3.06%
3-0 @ 2.23%
3-2 @ 2.1%
4-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 32.94%
| 1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 7.57%
2-2 @ 5.21%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.39%
| 0-1 @ 10.38%
1-2 @ 8.62%
0-2 @ 7.13%
1-3 @ 3.94%
0-3 @ 3.26%
2-3 @ 2.38%
1-4 @ 1.35%
0-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 40.65%
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