While Auxerre hold the historical edge over Nantes at home, Saturday's contest is difficult to predict due to the hosts not performing well on their turf and the Canaries struggling for clean sheets and results on their travels.
Thus, the spoils could be shared in a score draw in Burgundy, potentially causing Les Canaris to slip into the bottom three if Le Havre beat Marseille.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
0.13) 
-0.04) 
