SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Nantes | 38 | 7 | 55 |
| 10 | Lille | 38 | 0 | 55 |
| 11 | Brest | 38 | -8 | 48 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
| 19 | Metz | 38 | -34 | 31 |
| 20 | Bordeaux | 38 | -39 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 68.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 12.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 0-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Bordeaux |
| 68.28% | 19.2% | 12.52% |
| Both teams to score 47.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.64% | 67.36% |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.87% | 12.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.29% | 37.72% |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.84% | 46.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.15% | 81.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Bordeaux |
| 2-0 @ 12.46% 1-0 @ 11.81% 2-1 @ 9.63% 3-0 @ 8.76% 3-1 @ 6.77% 4-0 @ 4.62% 4-1 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 2.62% 5-0 @ 1.95% 5-1 @ 1.51% 4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.2% Total : 68.28% | 1-1 @ 9.13% 0-0 @ 5.6% 2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.75% Total : 19.2% | 0-1 @ 4.33% 1-2 @ 3.53% 0-2 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 0.96% 1-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.12% Total : 12.52% |
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