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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
May 10, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
L

Brest
2 - 0
Lille

Ajorque (42'), Doumbia (64')
Pereira Lage (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Meunier (40')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 1-0 Montpellier
Sunday, May 4 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-1 Marseille
Sunday, May 4 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 1-2 Lille

With nothing tangible left to play for during the last two games of the campaign, Brest could be swept away by a Lille storm on Saturday afternoon. Les Dogues are desperately chasing down a Champions League spot and should possess enough motivation and quality to get the job done at Stade Francis-Le Ble. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Brest had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawLille
30.88% (0.058 0.06) 24.79% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 44.33% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 56.84% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.85% (0.055 0.05)46.15% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.56% (0.052 0.05)68.45% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.84% (0.064999999999998 0.06)28.16% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.15% (0.081000000000003 0.08)63.85% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.12% (0.0019999999999953 0)20.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.41%53.59% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Brest 30.88%
    Lille 44.33%
    Draw 24.79%
BrestDrawLille
1-0 @ 7.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 7.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.12% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.99% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 30.88%
1-1 @ 11.67%
0-0 @ 5.88% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 9.21% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.14% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.21% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.77% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 3.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.02% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.87% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.48% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 44.33%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Brest 1-0 Montpellier
Sunday, May 4 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 4-1 Brest
Sunday, April 27 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-3 Lens
Sunday, April 20 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: St Etienne 3-3 Brest
Sunday, April 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-1 Monaco
Saturday, April 5 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-4 Brest
Sunday, March 30 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-1 Marseille
Sunday, May 4 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 0-2 Lille
Sunday, April 27 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 3-1 Auxerre
Sunday, April 20 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 1-2 Lille
Saturday, April 12 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 2-1 Lille
Saturday, April 5 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-0 Lens
Sunday, March 30 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1


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