SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Lille had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Lille |
42.98% ( 0) | 25.22% ( -0.02) | 31.8% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.8% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.31% ( 0.07) | 47.69% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.12% ( 0.07) | 69.88% ( -0.07) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.85% ( 0.03) | 22.15% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.47% ( 0.05) | 55.54% ( -0.05) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.68% ( 0.05) | 28.32% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.95% ( 0.06) | 64.05% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.52% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 42.98% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.99% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0)1-4 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 31.8% |
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