In spite of their faltering form, home advantage in this Derby du Nord could count heavily in the favour of Lens, who are rock-solid in front of their own fans.
Only PSG can better their home stats this term, so a momentum-shifting win may be on the cards - keeping them ahead of Lille in the table.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Lille had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
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