Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Sochaux had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Sochaux win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
