SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Sochaux | 38 | 13 | 68 |
| 6 | Guingamp | 38 | 4 | 58 |
| 7 | Caen | 38 | 9 | 50 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Toulouse | 38 | 49 | 79 |
| 2 | Ajaccio | 38 | 20 | 75 |
| 3 | Auxerre | 38 | 22 | 74 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 49.34%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 25.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 1-0 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guingamp | Draw | Toulouse |
| 25.54% | 25.12% | 49.34% |
| Both teams to score 51.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.25% | 50.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.35% | 72.65% |
| Guingamp Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.46% | 34.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.74% | 71.26% |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.41% | 20.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.88% | 53.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| Guingamp | Draw | Toulouse |
| 1-0 @ 7.56% 2-1 @ 6.35% 2-0 @ 4.02% 3-1 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 1.78% 3-0 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.16% Total : 25.54% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 7.11% 2-2 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 11.23% 1-2 @ 9.44% 0-2 @ 8.88% 1-3 @ 4.98% 0-3 @ 4.68% 2-3 @ 2.64% 1-4 @ 1.97% 0-4 @ 1.85% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.62% Total : 49.33% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
