Caen
2 - 1
Bastia

da Costa (27', 53')
Lepenant (65')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Salles-Lamonge (15')
Santelli (7'), Palun (41'), Le Cardinal (75'), Vincent (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Bastia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.

Result
Caen	Draw	Bastia
45.06%	27.06%	27.87%

Both teams to score 48.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.22%

56.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.28%

77.71%

Caen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.9%

25.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.2%

59.8%

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.13%

35.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.36%

72.64%

Score Analysis

Caen 45.06%

Bastia 27.87%

Draw 27.06%

Caen	Draw	Bastia
1-0 @ 12.44% 2-1 @ 8.82% 2-0 @ 8.6% 3-1 @ 4.06% 3-0 @ 3.96% 3-2 @ 2.08% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.32% Total : 45.06%	1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 9% 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.06%	0-1 @ 9.23% 1-2 @ 6.54% 0-2 @ 4.73% 1-3 @ 2.24% 0-3 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 1.97% Total : 27.87%