SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Caen | Draw | Bastia |
| 45.06% | 27.06% | 27.87% |
| Both teams to score 48.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.22% | 56.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.28% | 77.71% |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.9% | 25.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.2% | 59.8% |
| Bastia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.13% | 35.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.36% | 72.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Caen | Draw | Bastia |
| 1-0 @ 12.44% 2-1 @ 8.82% 2-0 @ 8.6% 3-1 @ 4.06% 3-0 @ 3.96% 3-2 @ 2.08% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.32% Total : 45.06% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 9% 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.06% | 0-1 @ 9.23% 1-2 @ 6.54% 0-2 @ 4.73% 1-3 @ 2.24% 0-3 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 1.97% Total : 27.87% |
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