SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Grenoble | 38 | -12 | 44 |
| 16 | Valenciennes | 38 | -13 | 44 |
| 17 | Rodez AF | 38 | -10 | 43 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Guingamp | 38 | 4 | 58 |
| 7 | Caen | 38 | 9 | 50 |
| 8 | Le Havre | 38 | -3 | 50 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Caen had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Valenciennes | Draw | Caen |
| 40.59% | 28.37% | 31.04% |
| Both teams to score 45.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.78% | 60.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.59% | 80.41% |
| Valenciennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.91% | 29.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.99% | 65.01% |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.72% | 35.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.97% | 72.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Valenciennes | Draw | Caen |
| 1-0 @ 12.67% 2-1 @ 8.15% 2-0 @ 7.82% 3-1 @ 3.36% 3-0 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 1.75% 4-1 @ 1.04% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.59% Total : 40.59% | 1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 10.26% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.37% | 0-1 @ 10.69% 1-2 @ 6.88% 0-2 @ 5.57% 1-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.1% Total : 31.04% |
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