Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 35.53%. A win for Nancy had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.23%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Nancy win was 1-0 (12.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajaccio would win this match.
