Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 42.12%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 28.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%), while for a Nimes win it was 0-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.