Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 54.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Paris FC had a probability of 21.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Paris FC win it was 0-1 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
