Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 56.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 18.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
