Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Nancy had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Nancy win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
