Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Nancy had a probability of 15.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Nancy win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sochaux in this match.