Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Nimes had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Nimes win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
