Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Nimes had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Nimes win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochaux would win this match.
