Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 43.1%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Pau had a probability of 27.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.71%) and 1-2 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Pau win it was 1-0 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Le Havre in this match.
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