Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Niort win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for Quevilly had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Niort win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.46%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Quevilly win was 0-1 (12.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Niort would win this match.
