Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 53.28%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Niort had a probability of 21.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.06%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Niort win it was 1-0 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.
0.15) 
-0.24) 
