Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Caen had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Caen win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris FC would win this match.
0.25) 
-0.37) 
