Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 61.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Pau had a probability of 14.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.01%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
