Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 63.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Paris FC had a probability of 15.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.07%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Paris FC win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
