Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 36.61%. A win for Dunkerque had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.21%) and 1-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Dunkerque win was 1-0 (12.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valenciennes would win this match.
