Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Quevilly win with a probability of 36.25%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Quevilly win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.17%) and 2-1 (7.04%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (12.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
