Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 72.02%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Amiens had a probability of 10.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.35%) and 3-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.31%), while for an Amiens win it was 0-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
