Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 77.24%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 7.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.45%) and 3-0 (11.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.17%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 0-1 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Toulouse in this match.
