SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 26 | 61 |
| 2 | Austin FC | 30 | 15 | 51 |
| 3 | Dallas | 31 | 11 | 49 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Portland Timbers | 31 | 3 | 45 |
| 3 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 0 | 43 |
| 4 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 29 | 3 | 40 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 56.36%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 22.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 1-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
56.36% ( -1.18) | 21.44% ( 0.05) | 22.2% ( 1.13) |
| Both teams to score 60.33% ( 1.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.1% ( 1.26) | 37.9% ( -1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.84% ( 1.34) | 60.16% ( -1.33) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.63% ( 0.06) | 13.37% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.73% ( 0.12) | 40.27% ( -0.12) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.64% ( 1.73) | 30.36% ( -1.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.44% ( 2.01) | 66.56% ( -2.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.47)1-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.48)3-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.3)3-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.68% Total : 56.36% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.23)0-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.25)3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.44% | 1-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.19)0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.9% Total : 22.2% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
