SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Austin FC |
42.78% ( 0.09) | 25.36% ( -0.03) | 31.86% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.38% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.75% ( 0.09) | 48.24% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.6% ( 0.09) | 70.39% ( -0.09) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.52% ( 0.08) | 22.48% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.97% ( 0.13) | 56.03% ( -0.13) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.44% ( 0.01) | 28.55% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.66% ( 0.01) | 64.34% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Austin FC |
| 1-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 42.78% | 1-1 @ 12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 31.86% |
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