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MLS Playoffs | First Round
Oct 18, 2022 at 2.30am UK
Pizza Hut Park
MU

Dallas
1 - 1
Minnesota Utd

Dallas win 5-4 on penalties
Quignon (64')
Arriola (72')
FT
(aet)
Reynoso (53')
Fragapane (73'), Taylor (105+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Kansas
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-0 Vancouver
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

We say: Dallas 2-0 Minnesota United

All season long, Dallas' defence has been among the most impenetrable, and going up against a Minnesota team who have scored the fewest goals among the Western Conference playoff sides, we expect the Toros backline will remain firm. An upset is certainly possible, but we believe that all 11 Loons players will need to play at an elite level for that to happen, and there are too many inconsistencies with this group to suggest they can beat a side who have been so well-organised and compact all season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 57.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 19.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (5.88%).

Result
DallasDrawMinnesota United
57.46% (0.689 0.69) 22.71% (-0.13 -0.13) 19.83% (-0.558 -0.56)
Both teams to score 52.38% (-0.464 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.29% (-0.178 -0.18)46.71% (0.17899999999999 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.03% (-0.167 -0.17)68.97% (0.16699999999999 0.17)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.01% (0.173 0.17)15.99% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.69% (0.316 0.32)45.31% (-0.316 -0.32)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.35% (-0.681 -0.68)37.64% (0.682 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.58% (-0.672 -0.67)74.42% (0.67400000000001 0.67)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 57.45%
    Minnesota United 19.83%
    Draw 22.71%
DallasDrawMinnesota United
1-0 @ 11.03% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 10.11% (0.189 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.18% (0.154 0.15)
3-1 @ 6.04% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.83% (0.087 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.77% (0.035 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.038 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 57.45%
1-1 @ 10.78% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.02% (0.045 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.71%
0-1 @ 5.88% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-2 @ 5.27% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-2 @ 2.87% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.72% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 19.83%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Kansas
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 1-0 Dallas
Saturday, October 1 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-1 Dallas
Sunday, September 18 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, September 11 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 0-3 Dallas
Saturday, September 3 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, August 28 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-0 Vancouver
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 2-0 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, October 2 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 4-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, September 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Los Angeles
Wednesday, September 14 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 1-0 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, September 11 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 0-3 Dallas
Saturday, September 3 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer


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